NCAAB Strategy

Late January, right as the football playoffs are wrapping up, is when I start to dvr as many ncaab games as possible. I'll watch the first half at 2x speed and then I'll watch the last few minutes at regular speed if its close. I can usually get a pretty good feel for the top 25 this way. Then right after valentines day I create "the Hovell index" which is documented on Wikipedia. The Hovell index had a run of predicting the winner for like 8 straight years, but the last few years haven't been as good. The Hovell index has about 12 categories including strength of schedule, defensive rank, foul shot %, head coach strength, etc. I follow that index to the t and pick my winner. Lets see how it does this year!